Amid rise in COVID-19 cases, experts urge rollback of reopening in Mass. – The Boston Globe

The state must take these numbers as proof that its time to roll back resuming, stated Samuel Scarpino, a Northeastern University epidemiologist.”Were not seeing a major rise in cases. What were seeing are the indications that a surge is coming,” Scarpino stated. “Given how challenging it can be to intervene and slow the spread of COVID-19, the actions we take now are whats going to figure out whether were risking a circumstance like heading back to April or a scenario thats much more manageable.”Scarpino promoted for returning to “a minimum of” the 2nd stage of Phase 2 of the states resuming strategy, which would mean once again shuttering a number of home entertainment locations consisting of gyms, gambling establishments, and theater. Stage 2 took place in two steps. The earlier action, started on June 8, reopened outside dining and some retail, along with kid care and day camps. On June 22, indoor dining and close-contact, personal services, including nail beauty salons and tattoo parlors, were included to the list. Stage 3, which began on July 6 in the majority of the state, permitted for more indoor entertainment.The head of the Massachusetts Medical Society stated recently that the state need to seriously reassess permitting gyms, indoor dining, and casinos to remain open– if the state wishes to keep infection rates low as it reopens schools in the fall.”I would rather act too early than act too late,” Dr. David Rosman, the societys president and associate chair of radiology at Massachusetts General Hospital, told the Globe last week. “Our concern must be kids, school, and health. Thats where we need to be focusing.”For weeks, Massachusetts progressed through Governor Charlie Bakers resuming strategy without experiencing the spikes in infection that numerous other states have seen. Now, with brand-new cases on the increase and the states seven-day typical test positivity rate exceeding 2 percent for the very first time given that June, illness experts and locals alike are looking for responses.”I am not prepared to state that theres a distinct trend that things are leaving control,” said Dr. Barry Bloom, a professor and former dean of Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health. Flower stated the state must think about reversing course on resuming if the positivity rate continues to climb higher.”What we want to be is around 1 [percent] Were now at 2.2. I would say the absolute limit which means we actually have actually lost the ability to track things would be 5 percent, and I would start shutting things down at 2.5 or 3,” Bloom said. “Its a lot easier to shut things down when the numbers are low.”Bloom added that brand-new lockdowns could be more targeted if the state fine-tunes its testing and contact tracing data to discover patterns in break outs. Scarpino concurred. “I would encourage the guv to be more particular around where cases are originating from and be more specific about the indicators theyre tracking,” he said. “Are [brand-new cases] originating from the house celebrations were reading about, or are they coming from the casino floorings, the fitness centers, indoor dining?”At the time that the state released its reopening strategy in May, some epidemiologists voiced issue that it did not include specific standards for what increase in cases, positivity rate, or other metric would activate new lockdowns.As for the cause behind increasing cases, Baker said in several press conferences recently that large gatherings were to blame for a number of clustered break outs throughout the state and called parties without implemented social distancing a “recipe for disaster.” The state has not defined what number of new cases have been traced back to events or listed other explanations for the increasing number of cases.The Department of Public Health did not immediately respond to a demand for comment.Dasia Moore can be reached at dasia.moore@globe.com. Follow her on Twitter @daijmoore Kay Lazar can be reached at kay.lazar@globe.com Follow her on Twitter @GlobeKayLazar.

The state must take these numbers as proof that its time to roll back resuming, stated Samuel Scarpino, a Northeastern University epidemiologist.”Scarpino advocated for returning to “at least” the 2nd phase of Phase 2 of the states resuming plan, which would imply once again shuttering a number of entertainment venues consisting of fitness centers, casinos, and film theaters. Phase 3, which started on July 6 in many of the state, allowed for more indoor entertainment.The head of the Massachusetts Medical Society stated last week that the state must seriously reevaluate allowing health clubs, indoor dining, and gambling establishments to remain open– if the state wants to keep infection rates low as it reopens schools in the fall. Bloom said the state ought to think about reversing course on resuming if the positivity rate continues to climb up higher. The state has not specified what number of new cases have been traced back to events or noted other descriptions for the increasing number of cases.The Department of Public Health did not right away react to a request for comment.Dasia Moore can be reached at dasia.moore@globe.com.

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